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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zrinjski v Velež: numbers & prediction

Premijer Liga · Bosnia · Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom
3–0
FT

Velež

LDLWW
Zrinjski 64%Draw 22%Velež 14% Expected goals 1.76 – 0.60
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.23Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.12 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultZrinjski to win ✓64% · @1.46
Double chanceZrinjski or draw ✓86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.12
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37

Zrinjski vs Velež: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Tuesday 26 May: Zrinjski v Velež in the Premijer Liga, played at Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom. In the table, Zrinjski are 1st, leading the league, on 34 points after 13 matches; Velež are 7th (lower half) with 12. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Zrinjski, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Rudar Prijedor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Velež, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FK Sarajevo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Velež 1–1 Zrinjski. The last 3 head-to-heads: Zrinjski 2 wins, Velež 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zrinjski 1.8 xG, Velež 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zrinjski 64%, draw 22%, Velež 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.12.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.12 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zrinjski 1–0 Velež. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zrinjski64%fair 1.56 · @1.46
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.60
Velež14%fair 7.17 · @5.75
2.36Expected goals
1.76Zrinjski xG
0.60Velež xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–09%

From our goals model: Zrinjski 1.8 – 0.6 Velež expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZrinjski to win ✓64%1.561.46
Double chanceZrinjski or draw ✓86%1.161.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.972.12 ▲
Draw no betZrinjski (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapZrinjski -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.461.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.771.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.23
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.07
First team to scoreZrinjski to score first ✓67%1.48–
Half-time resultZrinjski ahead at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zrinjski / FT Zrinjski ✓41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.37–

Recent results

Zrinjski – last 6

DDWWDW
22 May@ Rudar Prijedor2–2D
13 May@ Velež1–1D
6 Mayvs Velež1–0W
1 Mayvs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo2–0W
22 Aprvs Borac Banja Luka1–1D
15 Aprvs Radnik Bijeljina2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Velež – last 6

LDLWWW
21 Mayvs FK Sarajevo2–3L
13 Mayvs Zrinjski1–1D
6 May@ Zrinjski0–1L
1 Mayvs Radnik Bijeljina1–0W
21 Aprvs Siroki Brijeg3–0W
15 Apr@ Sloga Doboj3–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 May 2026Velež v Zrinjski1–1
6 May 2026Zrinjski v Velež1–0
3 Apr 2026Velež v Zrinjski0–1
Zrinjski vs Velež head-to-head page →

Premijer Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zrinjski131111+2434
2Borac Banja Luka121011+1731
3FK Sarajevo13553+320
4Siroki Brijeg13454-117
5BSK Banja Luka13445-116
6Zeljeznicar Sarajevo13346-813
7Velež12336-812
8Čelik13256-611
9Radnik Bijeljina13256-711
10Sloga Doboj13238-139

More Premijer Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zrinjski vs Velež?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Zrinjski vs Velež?

On our numbers Zrinjski have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Velež 14%.

How many goals will there be in Zrinjski vs Velež?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zrinjski vs Velež?

Our predicted score is Zrinjski 1–0 Velež, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Zrinjski vs Velež?

Zrinjski vs Velež (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 26 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.