Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDunkerque to win ✗50% · @1.98
Double chanceDunkerque or draw ✓76% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Dunkerque vs Bastia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dunkerque welcome Bastia to Stade Marcel Tribut for a Ligue 2 fixture on Friday 20 February (20:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dunkerque 1.5 xG, Bastia 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dunkerque 50%, draw 26%, Bastia 24%.
Lower-risk option: Dunkerque or draw (76%) at 1.24.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Dunkerque or draw (76%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dunkerque 1–0 Bastia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dunkerque50%fair 2.01 · @1.98
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.20
Bastia24%fair 4.09 · @3.90
2.34Expected goals
1.47Dunkerque xG
0.86Bastia xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Dunkerque 1.5 – 0.9 Bastia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dunkerque to win✗
50%
2.01
1.98
Double chance
Dunkerque or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Dunkerque (draw no bet)
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Bastia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.19
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
First team to score
Dunkerque to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dunkerque / FT Dunkerque✗
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
Dunkerque – last 1
W
13 Feb
@ Amiens
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bastia – last 1
D
16 Feb
vs Estac Troyes
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dunkerque and Bastia.
Our pick is Dunkerque or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Dunkerque vs Bastia?
On our numbers Dunkerque have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bastia 24%.
How many goals will there be in Dunkerque vs Bastia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dunkerque vs Bastia?
Our predicted score is Dunkerque 1–0 Bastia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Dunkerque vs Bastia?
Dunkerque vs Bastia (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel Tribut.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
