Rodez vs Montpellier: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Friday 20 February: Rodez v Montpellier in the Ligue 2, played at Stade Paul-Lignon. In the table, Rodez are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 12 matches; Montpellier are 3rd (among the top four) with 24.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rodez 1.2 xG, Montpellier 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rodez 32%, draw 24%, Montpellier 43%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.72.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodez 1–1 Montpellier. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rodez32%fair 3.08 · @2.85
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.40
Montpellier43%fair 2.32 · @2.35
2.75Expected goals
1.23Rodez xG
1.52Montpellier xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Rodez 1.2 – 1.5 Montpellier expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montpellier to win✗
43%
2.32
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.72
Draw no bet
Montpellier (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Rodez +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.87
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Montpellier to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montpellier / FT Montpellier✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.01
–
Recent results
Rodez – last 1
W
13 Feb
@ Clermont Foot
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Montpellier
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rodez and Montpellier.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Rodez vs Montpellier?
On our numbers Rodez have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Montpellier 43%.
How many goals will there be in Rodez vs Montpellier?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodez vs Montpellier?
Our predicted score is Rodez 1–1 Montpellier, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rodez vs Montpellier?
Rodez vs Montpellier (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Paul-Lignon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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