Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Annecy to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAnnecy to win ✓38% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.82
Bastia vs Annecy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bastia welcome Annecy to Stade Armand Cesari for a Ligue 2 fixture on Friday 27 February (20:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bastia 1.0 xG, Annecy 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 36%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bastia 34%, draw 28%, Annecy 38%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Annecy to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bastia 1–1 Annecy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bastia34%fair 2.90 · @2.50
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @2.95
Annecy38%fair 2.66 · @3.00
2.22Expected goals
1.05Bastia xG
1.17Annecy xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Bastia 1.0 – 1.2 Annecy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Annecy to win✓
38%
2.66
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Annecy (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Bastia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.13
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.03
First team to score
Annecy to score first✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Annecy / FT Annecy✓
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.82
–
Recent results
Bastia – last 2
DD
20 Feb
@ Dunkerque
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Estac Troyes
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Annecy – last 2
WD
20 Feb
vs RED Star FC 93
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Laval
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bastia and Annecy.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Bastia vs Annecy?
On our numbers Bastia have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Annecy 38%.
How many goals will there be in Bastia vs Annecy?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bastia vs Annecy?
Our predicted score is Bastia 1–1 Annecy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Bastia vs Annecy?
Bastia vs Annecy (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Armand Cesari.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
