Value bet: Montpellier to win @ 2.95 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMontpellier to win ✗40% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Montpellier vs Reims: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Friday 27 February: Montpellier v Reims in the Ligue 2, played at Stade de la Mosson. In the table, Montpellier are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 12 matches; Reims are 4th (among the top four) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montpellier 1.4 xG, Reims 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montpellier 40%, draw 25%, Reims 35%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Montpellier to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montpellier 1–1 Reims. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montpellier40%fair 2.52 · @2.95
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.20
Reims35%fair 2.86 · @2.40
2.62Expected goals
1.44Montpellier xG
1.18Reims xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Montpellier 1.4 – 1.2 Reims expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montpellier to win✗
40%
2.52
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.83
Draw no bet
Montpellier (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Reims +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Montpellier to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montpellier / FT Montpellier✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.21
–
Recent results
Montpellier – last 1
L
20 Feb
@ Rodez
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Reims – last 1
D
21 Feb
vs Amiens
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montpellier and Reims.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Montpellier vs Reims?
On our numbers Montpellier have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Reims 35%.
How many goals will there be in Montpellier vs Reims?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montpellier vs Reims?
Our predicted score is Montpellier 1–1 Reims, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Montpellier vs Reims?
Montpellier vs Reims (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Mosson.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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