Value bet: Amiens to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAmiens to win ✗42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Amiens vs PAU: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Amiens welcome PAU to Stade de la Licorne for a Ligue 2 fixture on Friday 10 April (19:00 WAT).
Current form
Amiens, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bastia, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
PAU, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Le Mans, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours PAU, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Amiens.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amiens 1.6 xG, PAU 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amiens 42%, draw 25%, PAU 33%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Amiens to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amiens 1–1 PAU. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amiens42%fair 2.38 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.60
PAU33%fair 3.03 · @2.55
2.73Expected goals
1.55Amiens xG
1.17PAU xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Amiens 1.6 – 1.2 PAU expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amiens to win✗
42%
2.38
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.55
Draw no bet
Amiens (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
PAU +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.17
First team to score
Amiens to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amiens / FT Amiens✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
Amiens – last 6
DLLLLD
3 Apr
@ Bastia
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs Le Mans
3–4
L
13 Mar
@ Guingamp
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Boulogne
2–4
L
2 Mar
vs Estac Troyes
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Reims
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
PAU – last 6
LDWDLL
6 Apr
@ Le Mans
0–4
L
20 Mar
vs Montpellier
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Clermont Foot
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Bastia
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Estac Troyes
3–4
L
13 Feb
vs Boulogne
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amiens and PAU.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Amiens vs PAU?
On our numbers Amiens have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and PAU 33%.
How many goals will there be in Amiens vs PAU?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amiens vs PAU?
Our predicted score is Amiens 1–1 PAU, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Amiens vs PAU?
Amiens vs PAU (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Licorne.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
