Value bet: Montpellier to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMontpellier to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Annecy vs Montpellier: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 10 April the Ligue 2 brings Annecy against Montpellier at Parc des Sports. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Annecy are 9th, upper half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Montpellier are 3rd (among the top four) with 24.
Current form
Annecy, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Guingamp, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Montpellier, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Estac Troyes, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Annecy, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Montpellier.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Annecy 1.2 xG, Montpellier 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Annecy 33%, draw 26%, Montpellier 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Montpellier to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Annecy 1–1 Montpellier. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Annecy33%fair 2.99 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.20
Montpellier40%fair 2.48 · @2.75
2.53Expected goals
1.16Annecy xG
1.37Montpellier xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Annecy 1.2 – 1.4 Montpellier expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montpellier to win✗
40%
2.48
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.77
Draw no bet
Montpellier (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Annecy +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Montpellier to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montpellier / FT Montpellier✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.54
–
Recent results
Annecy – last 5
WLWWD
3 Apr
vs Guingamp
1–0
W
16 Mar
vs Estac Troyes
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Bastia
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs RED Star FC 93
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Laval
2–2
D
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Montpellier – last 6
DDWWDL
4 Apr
vs Estac Troyes
2–2
D
20 Mar
@ PAU
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Laval
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Nancy
3–0
W
27 Feb
vs Reims
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Rodez
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Annecy and Montpellier.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Annecy vs Montpellier?
On our numbers Annecy have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Montpellier 40%.
How many goals will there be in Annecy vs Montpellier?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Annecy vs Montpellier?
Our predicted score is Annecy 1–1 Montpellier, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Annecy vs Montpellier?
Annecy vs Montpellier (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Parc des Sports.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amiens0