Value bet: Montpellier to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMontpellier to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceMontpellier or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.44
Montpellier vs Grenoble: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Montpellier welcome Grenoble to Stade de la Mosson for a Ligue 2 fixture on Friday 17 April (19:00 WAT). In the table, Montpellier are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 12 matches; Grenoble are 17th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Montpellier, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Annecy, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Grenoble, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Guingamp, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Montpellier, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Grenoble.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montpellier 1.9 xG, Grenoble 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montpellier 62%, draw 22%, Grenoble 16%.
Lower-risk option: Montpellier or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Montpellier to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montpellier 2–0 Grenoble. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montpellier62%fair 1.61 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.55
Grenoble16%fair 6.35 · @4.75
2.63Expected goals
1.87Montpellier xG
0.76Grenoble xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Montpellier 1.9 – 0.8 Grenoble expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montpellier to win✓
62%
1.61
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Montpellier or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.75
Draw no bet
Montpellier (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Montpellier -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Montpellier to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Montpellier ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montpellier / FT Montpellier✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Montpellier – last 6
DDDWWD
10 Apr
@ Annecy
0–0
D
4 Apr
vs Estac Troyes
2–2
D
20 Mar
@ PAU
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Laval
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Nancy
3–0
W
27 Feb
vs Reims
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Grenoble – last 6
DDLLDD
10 Apr
@ Guingamp
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Clermont Foot
2–2
D
20 Mar
@ Laval
2–3
L
6 Mar
@ Rodez
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Boulogne
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Nancy
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montpellier and Grenoble.
What is the prediction for Montpellier vs Grenoble?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Montpellier vs Grenoble?
On our numbers Montpellier have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Grenoble 16%.
How many goals will there be in Montpellier vs Grenoble?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montpellier vs Grenoble?
Our predicted score is Montpellier 2–0 Grenoble, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Montpellier vs Grenoble?
Montpellier vs Grenoble (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Mosson.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Le Mans1
Amiens2