Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.98 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Nazareth Illit to win ✗43% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Hadera: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hapoel Hadera travel to face Hapoel Nazareth Illit on Friday 20 February in the Liga Leumit, with Green Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.5 xG, Hapoel Hadera 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Nazareth Illit 43%, draw 26%, Hapoel Hadera 32%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.98.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.98 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1–1 Hapoel Hadera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Nazareth Illit43%fair 2.34 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.00
Hapoel Hadera32%fair 3.16 · @2.80
2.64Expected goals
1.50Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG
1.14Hapoel Hadera xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.5 – 1.1 Hapoel Hadera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win✗
43%
2.34
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.98 ▲
Draw no bet
Hapoel Nazareth Illit (draw no bet)
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Hadera +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.06
First team to score
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Nazareth Illit / FT Hapoel Nazareth Illit✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Hapoel Nazareth Illit – last 1
W
13 Feb
@ Kafr Qasim
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Hapoel Hadera – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Hapoel Ra'anana
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Nazareth Illit and Hapoel Hadera.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Hadera?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Hadera?
On our numbers Hapoel Nazareth Illit have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Hapoel Hadera 32%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Hadera?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Hadera?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1–1 Hapoel Hadera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Hadera?
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Hadera (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Green Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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