Value bet: Hapoel Afula to win @ 2.60 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Afula to win ✗45% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.71
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 20 February the Liga Leumit brings Hapoel Afula against Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa at Grundman Stadium. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Hapoel Afula are 5th, upper half, on 24 points after 13 matches; Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa are 15th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Afula 1.8 xG, Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Afula 45%, draw 24%, Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 31%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.71.
Price worth noting: Hapoel Afula to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Afula 1–1 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Afula45%fair 2.22 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa31%fair 3.22 · @2.35
2.91Expected goals
1.76Hapoel Afula xG
1.15Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–08%
1–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Hapoel Afula 1.8 – 1.1 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Afula to win✗
45%
2.22
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.71
Draw no bet
Hapoel Afula (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.10
First team to score
Hapoel Afula to score first✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Afula / FT Hapoel Afula✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Hapoel Afula – last 1
W
16 Feb
@ Hapoel Acre
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa – last 1
D
16 Feb
vs Bnei Yehuda
4–4
D
4.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Afula and Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
On our numbers Hapoel Afula have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 31%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Afula 1–1 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Grundman Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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