Value bet: Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win @ 2.65 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Nazareth Illit to win ✓42% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hapoel Nazareth Illit travel to face Hapoel Acre on Friday 27 February in the Liga Leumit, with Acre Municipal Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Acre 1.2 xG, Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Acre 33%, draw 25%, Hapoel Nazareth Illit 42%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Acre 1–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Acre33%fair 3.04 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.10
Hapoel Nazareth Illit42%fair 2.40 · @2.65
2.66Expected goals
1.16Hapoel Acre xG
1.50Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Hapoel Acre 1.2 – 1.5 Hapoel Nazareth Illit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win✓
42%
2.40
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.83 ▲
Draw no bet
Hapoel Nazareth Illit (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Acre +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Nazareth Illit / FT Hapoel Nazareth Illit✓
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Hapoel Acre – last 2
LL
20 Feb
@ Hapoel Ra'anana
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Hapoel Afula
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit – last 2
DW
20 Feb
vs Hapoel Hadera
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ Kafr Qasim
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Acre and Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
On our numbers Hapoel Acre have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hapoel Nazareth Illit 42%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Acre 1–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Acre Municipal Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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