Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 59% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMaccabi Petah Tikva to win ✗59% · @1.22
Double chanceMaccabi Petah Tikva or draw ✗80% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Afula: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Maccabi Petah Tikva welcome Hapoel Afula to HaMoshava Stadium for a Liga Leumit fixture on Friday 27 February (14:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maccabi Petah Tikva 1.8 xG, Hapoel Afula 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maccabi Petah Tikva 59%, draw 20%, Hapoel Afula 20%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maccabi Petah Tikva 1–1 Hapoel Afula. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maccabi Petah Tikva59%fair 1.69 · @1.22
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @5.40
Hapoel Afula20%fair 4.94 · @10.00
3.13Expected goals
1.83Maccabi Petah Tikva xG
1.30Hapoel Afula xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Maccabi Petah Tikva 1.8 – 1.3 Hapoel Afula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maccabi Petah Tikva to win✗
59%
1.69
1.22
Double chance
Maccabi Petah Tikva or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Maccabi Petah Tikva (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Afula +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
First team to score
Maccabi Petah Tikva to score first✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maccabi Petah Tikva / FT Maccabi Petah Tikva✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Maccabi Petah Tikva – last 2
DW
23 Feb
@ Bnei Yehuda
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Ironi Modi'in
5–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hapoel Afula – last 2
LW
20 Feb
vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
0–5
L
16 Feb
@ Hapoel Acre
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maccabi Petah Tikva and Hapoel Afula.
What is the prediction for Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Afula?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Afula?
On our numbers Maccabi Petah Tikva have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hapoel Afula 20%.
How many goals will there be in Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Afula?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Afula?
Our predicted score is Maccabi Petah Tikva 1–1 Hapoel Afula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Afula?
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Afula (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at HaMoshava Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hapoel Ramat Gan1
Hapoel Nazareth Illit2