Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRied to win ✗47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Grazer AK vs Ried: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ried travel to face Grazer AK on Sunday 1 March in the Bundesliga, with Merkur-Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Grazer AK are 10th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 12 matches; Ried are 6th (upper half) with 16.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grazer AK 1.2 xG, Ried 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 47% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grazer AK 29%, draw 24%, Ried 47%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.45 – longer than our fair 1.39, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grazer AK 1–1 Ried. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grazer AK29%fair 3.40 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Ried47%fair 2.15 · @2.30
2.91Expected goals
1.20Grazer AK xG
1.71Ried xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Grazer AK 1.2 – 1.7 Ried expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ried to win✗
47%
2.15
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Ried (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Grazer AK +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.05
First team to score
Ried to score first✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ried / FT Ried✗
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
Grazer AK – last 2
LD
21 Feb
@ TSV Hartberg
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Red Bull Salzburg
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ried – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ WSG Wattens
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grazer AK and Ried.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Grazer AK vs Ried?
On our numbers Grazer AK have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ried 47%.
How many goals will there be in Grazer AK vs Ried?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grazer AK vs Ried?
Our predicted score is Grazer AK 1–1 Ried, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Grazer AK vs Ried?
Grazer AK vs Ried (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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