Value bet: Sturm Graz to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSturm Graz to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.07
Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Wolfsberger AC welcome Sturm Graz to Lavanttal-Arena for a Bundesliga fixture on Sunday 1 March (17:00 WAT). In the table, Wolfsberger AC are 12th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 12 matches; Sturm Graz are 5th (upper half) with 19. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wolfsberger AC 1.3 xG, Sturm Graz 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wolfsberger AC 35%, draw 25%, Sturm Graz 40%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Sturm Graz to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wolfsberger AC 1–1 Sturm Graz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wolfsberger AC35%fair 2.89 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.20
Sturm Graz40%fair 2.50 · @2.75
2.84Expected goals
1.29Wolfsberger AC xG
1.54Sturm Graz xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Wolfsberger AC 1.3 – 1.5 Sturm Graz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sturm Graz to win✗
40%
2.50
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Draw no bet
Sturm Graz (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Wolfsberger AC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Sturm Graz to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sturm Graz / FT Sturm Graz✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.07
–
Recent results
Wolfsberger AC – last 2
LL
21 Feb
@ Rapid Vienna
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ FC BW Linz
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sturm Graz – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs FC BW Linz
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wolfsberger AC and Sturm Graz.
What is the prediction for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?
On our numbers Wolfsberger AC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sturm Graz 40%.
How many goals will there be in Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?
Our predicted score is Wolfsberger AC 1–1 Sturm Graz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?
Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Lavanttal-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC BW Linz2