Celta Vigo 46%Draw 29%Mallorca 24%Expected goals 1.26 – 1.02
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultCelta Vigo to win ✓46% · @1.85
Double chanceCelta Vigo or draw ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.06
Celta Vigo vs Mallorca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mallorca travel to face Celta Vigo on Sunday 22 February in the La Liga, with Estadio Abanca-Balaídos the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celta Vigo 1.3 xG, Mallorca 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celta Vigo 46%, draw 29%, Mallorca 24%.
Lower-risk option: Celta Vigo or draw (76%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celta Vigo 1–1 Mallorca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celta Vigo46%fair 2.16 · @1.85
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @3.30
Mallorca24%fair 4.09 · @4.40
2.28Expected goals
1.26Celta Vigo xG
1.02Mallorca xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Celta Vigo 1.3 – 1.0 Mallorca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celta Vigo to win✓
46%
2.16
1.85
Double chance
Celta Vigo or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.95
Draw no bet
Celta Vigo (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Mallorca +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Celta Vigo to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celta Vigo / FT Celta Vigo✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.06
–
Recent results
Celta Vigo – last 1
W
19 Feb
@ PAOK
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Mallorca – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Real Betis
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celta Vigo and Mallorca.
What is the prediction for Celta Vigo vs Mallorca?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Mallorca?
On our numbers Celta Vigo have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Mallorca 24%.
How many goals will there be in Celta Vigo vs Mallorca?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Mallorca?
Our predicted score is Celta Vigo 1–1 Mallorca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Celta Vigo vs Mallorca?
Celta Vigo vs Mallorca (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
