Girona vs Celta Vigo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Celta Vigo travel to face Girona on Sunday 1 March in the La Liga, with Estadio Municipal de Montilivi the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.
Current form
Celta Vigo, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over PAOK, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Girona 1.4 xG, Celta Vigo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Girona 42%, draw 27%, Celta Vigo 31%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Girona 1–1 Celta Vigo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Girona42%fair 2.36 · @2.32
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.30
Celta Vigo31%fair 3.26 · @2.98
2.44Expected goals
1.37Girona xG
1.07Celta Vigo xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%
From our goals model: Girona 1.4 – 1.1 Celta Vigo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Girona to win
42%
2.36
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.80
1.73
Draw no bet
Girona (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Celta Vigo +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
Girona to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Girona / FT Girona
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.43
–
Recent results
Girona – last 2
DW
23 Feb
@ Alaves
2–2
D
16 Feb
vs Barcelona
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Celta Vigo – last 3
WWW
26 Feb
vs PAOK
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Mallorca
2–0
W
19 Feb
@ PAOK
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Girona and Celta Vigo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Girona vs Celta Vigo?
On our numbers Girona have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Celta Vigo 31%.
How many goals will there be in Girona vs Celta Vigo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Girona vs Celta Vigo?
Our predicted score is Girona 1–1 Celta Vigo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Girona vs Celta Vigo?
Girona vs Celta Vigo (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
