Valencia vs Osasuna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Valencia welcome Osasuna to Estadio de Mestalla for a La Liga fixture on Sunday 1 March (16:15 WAT). In the table, Valencia are 19th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 12 matches; Osasuna are 16th (lower half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valencia 1.4 xG, Osasuna 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valencia 42%, draw 26%, Osasuna 31%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valencia 1–1 Osasuna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valencia42%fair 2.37 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.10
Osasuna31%fair 3.18 · @3.20
2.59Expected goals
1.43Valencia xG
1.16Osasuna xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Valencia 1.4 – 1.2 Osasuna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valencia to win✓
42%
2.37
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.90
Draw no bet
Valencia (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Osasuna +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Valencia to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valencia / FT Valencia✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.22
–
Recent results
Valencia – last 2
LW
22 Feb
@ Villarreal
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Levante
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Osasuna – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Elche
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valencia and Osasuna.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Valencia vs Osasuna?
On our numbers Valencia have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Osasuna 31%.
How many goals will there be in Valencia vs Osasuna?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valencia vs Osasuna?
Our predicted score is Valencia 1–1 Osasuna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Valencia vs Osasuna?
Valencia vs Osasuna (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Mestalla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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