Celta Vigo vs Elche: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Celta Vigo v Elche in the La Liga, played at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos. In the table, Celta Vigo are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 12 matches; Elche are 18th (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Celta Vigo, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Barcelona, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Elche, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Atletico Madrid, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celta Vigo 1.6 xG, Elche 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celta Vigo 53%, draw 25%, Elche 23%.
Lower-risk option: Celta Vigo or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Celta Vigo or draw (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celta Vigo 1–1 Elche. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celta Vigo53%fair 1.90 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.80
Elche23%fair 4.40 · @4.45
2.60Expected goals
1.56Celta Vigo xG
1.04Elche xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Celta Vigo 1.6 – 1.0 Elche expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celta Vigo to win✓
53%
1.90
1.73
Double chance
Celta Vigo or draw✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.67
Draw no bet
Celta Vigo (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Elche +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.17
First team to score
Celta Vigo to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celta Vigo / FT Celta Vigo✓
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
Celta Vigo – last 6
LLLWLW
22 Apr
@ Barcelona
0–1
L
16 Apr
vs SC Freiburg
1–3
L
9 Apr
@ SC Freiburg
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Valencia
3–2
W
22 Mar
vs Alaves
3–4
L
19 Mar
@ Lyon
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Elche – last 6
WLLDLD
22 Apr
vs Atletico Madrid
3–2
W
3 Apr
@ Rayo Vallecano
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Villarreal
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Espanyol
2–2
D
20 Feb
@ Athletic Club
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Osasuna
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celta Vigo and Elche.
Our pick is Celta Vigo or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Elche?
On our numbers Celta Vigo have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Elche 23%.
How many goals will there be in Celta Vigo vs Elche?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Elche?
Our predicted score is Celta Vigo 1–1 Elche, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Celta Vigo vs Elche?
Celta Vigo vs Elche (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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