Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultGetafe to win48% · @1.90
Double chanceGetafe or draw77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.24
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:15 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Getafe v Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga, played at Estadio Coliseum. In the table, Getafe are 15th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Rayo Vallecano are 14th (lower half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Getafe, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Sociedad, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Rayo Vallecano, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Strasbourg, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Getafe 1.2 xG, Rayo Vallecano 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Getafe 48%, draw 29%, Rayo Vallecano 23%.
Lower-risk option: Getafe or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Getafe or draw (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Getafe 1–0 Rayo Vallecano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Getafe48%fair 2.08 · @1.90
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @3.20
Rayo Vallecano23%fair 4.28 · @4.35
2.16Expected goals
1.24Getafe xG
0.92Rayo Vallecano xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Getafe 1.2 – 0.9 Rayo Vallecano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Getafe to win
48%
2.08
1.90
Double chance
Getafe or draw
77%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Getafe (draw no bet)
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Rayo Vallecano +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.09
1.04
First team to score
Getafe to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Getafe / FT Getafe
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.24
–
Recent results
Getafe – last 6
WLWWWL
22 Apr
@ Real Sociedad
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Levante
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Athletic Club
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Real Betis
2–0
W
2 Mar
@ Real Madrid
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Sevilla
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano – last 6
WDWLWW
30 Apr
vs Strasbourg
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Real Sociedad
3–3
D
23 Apr
vs Espanyol
1–0
W
16 Apr
@ AEK Athens FC
1–3
L
9 Apr
vs AEK Athens FC
3–0
W
3 Apr
vs Elche
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Getafe and Rayo Vallecano.
What is the prediction for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our pick is Getafe or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
On our numbers Getafe have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Rayo Vallecano 23%.
How many goals will there be in Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our predicted score is Getafe 1–0 Rayo Vallecano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Coliseum.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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