Celta Vigo vs Levante: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 12 May the La Liga brings Celta Vigo against Levante at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Celta Vigo are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 12 matches; Levante are 17th (lower half) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Celta Vigo, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Elche, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Levante, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Osasuna, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Levante, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Celta Vigo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celta Vigo 1.5 xG, Levante 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celta Vigo 51%, draw 25%, Levante 24%.
Lower-risk option: Celta Vigo or draw (76%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celta Vigo 1–1 Levante. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celta Vigo51%fair 1.97 · @1.74
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.75
Levante24%fair 4.17 · @4.40
2.57Expected goals
1.51Celta Vigo xG
1.06Levante xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Celta Vigo 1.5 – 1.1 Levante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celta Vigo to win✗
51%
1.97
1.74
Double chance
Celta Vigo or draw✗
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.73
Draw no bet
Celta Vigo (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Levante +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.14
First team to score
Celta Vigo to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celta Vigo / FT Celta Vigo✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
Celta Vigo – last 6
WLLLWL
3 May
vs Elche
3–1
W
22 Apr
@ Barcelona
0–1
L
16 Apr
vs SC Freiburg
1–3
L
9 Apr
@ SC Freiburg
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Valencia
3–2
W
22 Mar
vs Alaves
3–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Levante – last 6
WDWWLD
8 May
vs Osasuna
3–2
W
27 Apr
@ Espanyol
0–0
D
23 Apr
vs Sevilla
2–0
W
13 Apr
vs Getafe
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ Real Sociedad
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celta Vigo and Levante.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Levante?
On our numbers Celta Vigo have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Levante 24%.
How many goals will there be in Celta Vigo vs Levante?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Levante?
Our predicted score is Celta Vigo 1–1 Levante, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Celta Vigo vs Levante?
Celta Vigo vs Levante (La Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
