Karpaty vs Oleksandria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 11 April the Premier League brings Karpaty against Oleksandria at Ukraina Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Karpaty, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Obolon'-Brovar, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Oleksandria, last 4: DLLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with SK Poltava, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Karpaty 1.8 xG, Oleksandria 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Karpaty 59%, draw 24%, Oleksandria 18%.
Lower-risk option: Karpaty or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karpaty 2–0 Oleksandria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Karpaty59%fair 1.71 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.55
Oleksandria18%fair 5.67 · @4.20
2.62Expected goals
1.77Karpaty xG
0.85Oleksandria xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Karpaty 1.8 – 0.9 Oleksandria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karpaty to win✓
59%
1.71
1.73
Double chance
Karpaty or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.65
Draw no bet
Karpaty (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Oleksandria +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Karpaty to score first✓
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Karpaty ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karpaty / FT Karpaty✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Karpaty – last 5
WWDLL
22 Mar
vs Obolon'-Brovar
4–0
W
13 Mar
@ SK Poltava
4–0
W
8 Mar
vs Kudrivka
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Kolos Kovalivka
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Oleksandria – last 4
DLLW
3 Apr
@ SK Poltava
3–3
D
19 Mar
vs Dynamo Kyiv
0–5
L
6 Mar
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Dinamo Batumi
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karpaty and Oleksandria.
What is the prediction for Karpaty vs Oleksandria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Karpaty vs Oleksandria?
On our numbers Karpaty have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oleksandria 18%.
How many goals will there be in Karpaty vs Oleksandria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karpaty vs Oleksandria?
Our predicted score is Karpaty 2–0 Oleksandria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Karpaty vs Oleksandria?
Karpaty vs Oleksandria (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ukraina Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
