Value bet: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv to win @ 3.60 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultDynamo Kyiv to win40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.42
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kyiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dynamo Kyiv travel to face Metalist 1925 Kharkiv on Saturday 11 April in the Premier League, with Tsentralnyi Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv are 4th, among the top four, on 21 points after 9 matches; Dynamo Kyiv are 3rd (among the top four) with 23. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kolos Kovalivka, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Dynamo Kyiv, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Oleksandria, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Dynamo Kyiv, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1.4 xG, Dynamo Kyiv 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 34%, draw 26%, Dynamo Kyiv 40%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1–1 Dynamo Kyiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv34%fair 2.94 · @3.60
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.10
Dynamo Kyiv40%fair 2.48 · @2.00
2.67Expected goals
1.36Metalist 1925 Kharkiv xG
1.31Dynamo Kyiv xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1.4 – 1.3 Dynamo Kyiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dynamo Kyiv to win
40%
2.48
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.77
1.85
Draw no bet
Dynamo Kyiv (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Dynamo Kyiv +0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.87
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metalist 1925 Kharkiv / FT Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.42
–
Recent results
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv – last 6
DWLWWD
4 Apr
@ Kolos Kovalivka
0–0
D
19 Mar
vs SK Poltava
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
0–1
L
9 Mar
@ Ruh Lviv
3–0
W
5 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Kyiv
3–0
W
21 Feb
vs Kryvbas KR
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Dynamo Kyiv – last 6
WWWWWW
19 Mar
@ Oleksandria
5–0
W
13 Mar
vs Obolon'-Brovar
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Polessya
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs Inhulets
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
4–0
W
20 Feb
vs Ruh Lviv
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metalist 1925 Kharkiv and Dynamo Kyiv.
What is the prediction for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kyiv?
On our numbers Metalist 1925 Kharkiv have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dynamo Kyiv 40%.
How many goals will there be in Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kyiv?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Our predicted score is Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1–1 Dynamo Kyiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kyiv (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Tsentralnyi Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Oleksandria0