Dynamo Kyiv 33%Draw 27%Shakhtar Donetsk 40%Expected goals 1.20 – 1.45
74%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.21
Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shakhtar Donetsk travel to face Dynamo Kyiv on Sunday 3 May in the Premier League, with Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Dynamo Kyiv are 3rd, among the top four, on 23 points after 11 matches; Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st (leading the league) with 29.
Current form
Dynamo Kyiv, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 6–5 win over Kryvbas KR, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.5 a game lately.
Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Crystal Palace, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Dynamo Kyiv, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for Shakhtar Donetsk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dynamo Kyiv 1.2 xG, Shakhtar Donetsk 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dynamo Kyiv 33%, draw 27%, Shakhtar Donetsk 40%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dynamo Kyiv 1–1 Shakhtar Donetsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dynamo Kyiv33%fair 3.04 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.35
Shakhtar Donetsk40%fair 2.47 · @2.45
2.65Expected goals
1.20Dynamo Kyiv xG
1.45Shakhtar Donetsk xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Dynamo Kyiv 1.2 – 1.5 Shakhtar Donetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shakhtar Donetsk to win
40%
2.47
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
1.60
Draw no bet
Shakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Dynamo Kyiv +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Shakhtar Donetsk to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.21
–
Recent results
Dynamo Kyiv – last 6
WWWWWW
26 Apr
@ Kryvbas KR
6–5
W
21 Apr
@ Bukovyna
3–0
W
17 Apr
vs Zorya Luhansk
3–1
W
19 Mar
@ Oleksandria
5–0
W
13 Mar
vs Obolon'-Brovar
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Polessya
2–1
W
3.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6
LWWDDW
30 Apr
vs Crystal Palace
1–3
L
23 Apr
@ Zorya Luhansk
2–1
W
20 Apr
vs Polessya
1–0
W
16 Apr
@ AZ Alkmaar
2–2
D
13 Apr
@ LNZ Cherkasy
2–2
D
9 Apr
vs AZ Alkmaar
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dynamo Kyiv and Shakhtar Donetsk.
What is the prediction for Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
On our numbers Dynamo Kyiv have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Shakhtar Donetsk 40%.
How many goals will there be in Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our predicted score is Dynamo Kyiv 1–1 Shakhtar Donetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
