Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 54% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPolessya to win ✓38% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.52
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the Premier League brings Metalist 1925 Kharkiv against Polessya at Tsentralnyi Stadion. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv are 4th, among the top four, on 21 points after 9 matches; Polessya are 2nd (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with LNZ Cherkasy, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Polessya, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Shakhtar Donetsk, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1.2 xG, Polessya 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 35%, draw 27%, Polessya 38%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1–1 Polessya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.80
Polessya38%fair 2.63 · @2.38
2.47Expected goals
1.23Metalist 1925 Kharkiv xG
1.24Polessya xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1.2 – 1.2 Polessya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polessya to win✓
38%
2.63
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Polessya (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Polessya to score first✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polessya / FT Polessya✓
21%
4.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.52
–
Recent results
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv – last 6
DWDWLW
26 Apr
@ LNZ Cherkasy
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs Veres Rivne
4–0
W
4 Apr
@ Kolos Kovalivka
0–0
D
19 Mar
vs SK Poltava
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
0–1
L
9 Mar
@ Ruh Lviv
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Polessya – last 6
LDWLWW
20 Apr
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Veres Rivne
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ Kudrivka
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Dynamo Kyiv
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ LNZ Cherkasy
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Kolos Kovalivka
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metalist 1925 Kharkiv and Polessya.
What is the prediction for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya?
On our numbers Metalist 1925 Kharkiv have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Polessya 38%.
How many goals will there be in Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya?
Our predicted score is Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1–1 Polessya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya?
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Tsentralnyi Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
