Value bet: Oleksandria to win @ 3.40 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZorya Luhansk to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.06
Oleksandria vs Zorya Luhansk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 12 May the Premier League brings Oleksandria against Zorya Luhansk at CSC Nika. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Oleksandria, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Polessya, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Zorya Luhansk, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ruh Lviv, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Zorya Luhansk, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Oleksandria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oleksandria 1.2 xG, Zorya Luhansk 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oleksandria 31%, draw 27%, Zorya Luhansk 42%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Oleksandria to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oleksandria 1–1 Zorya Luhansk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oleksandria31%fair 3.20 · @3.40
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.20
Zorya Luhansk42%fair 2.40 · @2.05
2.49Expected goals
1.20Oleksandria xG
1.29Zorya Luhansk xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Oleksandria 1.2 – 1.3 Zorya Luhansk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zorya Luhansk to win✓
42%
2.40
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.73
Draw no bet
Zorya Luhansk (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Oleksandria +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Zorya Luhansk to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zorya Luhansk / FT Zorya Luhansk✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.06
–
Recent results
Oleksandria – last 6
LDLLDL
8 May
@ Polessya
1–2
L
27 Apr
@ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1–1
D
20 Apr
vs Veres Rivne
0–3
L
11 Apr
@ Karpaty
0–2
L
3 Apr
@ SK Poltava
3–3
D
19 Mar
vs Dynamo Kyiv
0–5
L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Zorya Luhansk – last 6
WWLLWD
4 May
@ Ruh Lviv
2–1
W
27 Apr
vs Veres Rivne
2–0
W
23 Apr
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
1–2
L
17 Apr
@ Dynamo Kyiv
1–3
L
12 Apr
vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Obolon'-Brovar
3–3
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oleksandria and Zorya Luhansk.
What is the prediction for Oleksandria vs Zorya Luhansk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Oleksandria vs Zorya Luhansk?
On our numbers Oleksandria have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Zorya Luhansk 42%.
How many goals will there be in Oleksandria vs Zorya Luhansk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oleksandria vs Zorya Luhansk?
Our predicted score is Oleksandria 1–1 Zorya Luhansk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Oleksandria vs Zorya Luhansk?
Oleksandria vs Zorya Luhansk (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at CSC Nika.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
