Value bet: First Vienna to win @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFirst Vienna to win ✓50% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.17
First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 12 April the 2. Liga brings First Vienna against Sturm Graz II at Hohe Warte Stadium. Kick-off: 09:30 WAT. In the table, First Vienna are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 12 matches; Sturm Graz II are 12th (lower half) with 14. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
First Vienna, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Floridsdorfer AC, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sturm Graz II, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give First Vienna 1.8 xG, Sturm Graz II 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – First Vienna 50%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz II 27%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: First Vienna to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: First Vienna 1–1 Sturm Graz II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
First Vienna50%fair 1.99 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.40
Sturm Graz II27%fair 3.68 · @2.95
2.86Expected goals
1.80First Vienna xG
1.06Sturm Graz II xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
3–16%
From our goals model: First Vienna 1.8 – 1.1 Sturm Graz II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
First Vienna to win✓
50%
1.99
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.67
Draw no bet
First Vienna (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Sturm Graz II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
First Vienna to score first
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
First Vienna ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT First Vienna / FT First Vienna✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
First Vienna – last 6
WLWLWL
6 Apr
@ Floridsdorfer AC
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs SV Kapfenberg
1–2
L
20 Mar
@ Austria Klagenfurt
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Austria Vienna (Am)
0–2
L
6 Mar
@ Austria Lustenau
3–0
W
27 Feb
@ FC Liefering
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sturm Graz II – last 6
WLLWLW
6 Apr
@ Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
3–1
W
3 Apr
vs SKN ST. Polten
0–1
L
10 Mar
vs FC Liefering
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Floridsdorfer AC
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ SV Kapfenberg
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Voitsberg
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between First Vienna and Sturm Graz II.
What is the prediction for First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II?
On our numbers First Vienna have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sturm Graz II 27%.
How many goals will there be in First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II?
Our predicted score is First Vienna 1–1 Sturm Graz II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II?
First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II (2. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Hohe Warte Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
