Leganes v Eibar Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultEibar to win ✓40% · @3.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.60

Leganes vs Eibar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Eibar travel to face Leganes on Sunday 8 March in the Segunda División, with Estadio Municipal de Butarque the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Leganes are 18th, lower half, on 12 points after 13 matches; Eibar are 4th (among the top four) with 23.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leganes 1.0 xG, Eibar 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Leganes 33%, draw 27%, Eibar 40%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Eibar to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leganes 1–1 Eibar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leganes33%fair 3.05 · @2.36

Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.00

Eibar40%fair 2.48 · @3.15

2.30Expected goals

0.96Leganes xG

1.34Eibar xG

54%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%

1–113%

0–010%

1–010%

0–29%

1–29%

From our goals model: Leganes 1.0 – 1.3 Eibar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Leganes	Eibar
Attack vs Segunda División average	-30%	+15%
Goals conceded vs average	+20%	-21%
Our expected goals here	0.86	1.63

Leganes

Eibar

Attack vs Segunda División average

-30%

+15%

Goals conceded vs average

+20%

-21%

Our expected goals here

0.86

1.63

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Eibar to win ✓	40%	2.48	3.15 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	73%	1.37	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	54%	1.86	2.00 ▲
Draw no bet	Eibar (draw no bet) ✓	55%	1.81	–
Asian handicap	Leganes +1 (Asian handicap)	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	65%	1.53	1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.65	1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	1.05
First team to score	Eibar to score first ✓	52%	1.91	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	46%	2.17	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Eibar / FT Eibar ✓	26%	3.78	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.60	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Eibar to win ✓

40%

2.48

3.15 ▲

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

73%

1.37

1.30

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

54%

1.86

2.00 ▲

Draw no bet

Eibar (draw no bet) ✓

55%

1.81

–

Asian handicap

Leganes +1 (Asian handicap)

72%

1.39

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✗

65%

1.53

1.48

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✓

61%

1.65

1.53

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

80%

1.25

1.18

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

91%

1.10

1.05

First team to score

Eibar to score first ✓

52%

1.91

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

46%

2.17

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Eibar / FT Eibar ✓

26%

3.78

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–2 ✗

11.60

–

Recent results

Head to head

Segunda División table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Team

Pts

+14

+18

-1

+10

-2

-2

-6

-6

-7

-12

-5

-2

-11

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leganes vs Eibar?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Leganes vs Eibar?

On our numbers Leganes have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Eibar 40%.

How many goals will there be in Leganes vs Eibar?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leganes vs Eibar?

Our predicted score is Leganes 1–1 Eibar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Leganes vs Eibar?

Leganes vs Eibar (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

2 Mar	@ Sporting Gijon	0–0	D
21 Feb	vs Cultural Leonesa	1–1	D

21 Feb	@ Deportivo La Coruna	0–1	L
15 Feb	vs Racing Santander	2–1	W

Leganes v Eibar: numbers & prediction

Leganes

Eibar

Over 1.5 goals

Picks by market

Leganes vs Eibar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

Team ratings (Betarazi)

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Leganes – last 2

Eibar – last 2

Head to head

Segunda División table

More Segunda División predictions

Frequently asked questions