Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEibar to win ✓46% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Eibar vs Las Palmas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 29 March the Segunda División brings Eibar against Las Palmas at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Eibar are 4th, among the top four, on 23 points after 12 matches; Las Palmas are 10th (upper half) with 20. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Eibar, last 4: DWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Burgos, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Las Palmas, last 4: LWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Albacete, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Eibar 1.5 xG, Las Palmas 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Eibar 46%, draw 25%, Las Palmas 28%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eibar 1–1 Las Palmas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Eibar46%fair 2.15 · @2.44
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.10
Las Palmas28%fair 3.53 · @2.98
2.46Expected goals
1.51Eibar xG
0.95Las Palmas xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Eibar 1.5 – 1.0 Las Palmas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Eibar
Las Palmas
Attack vs Segunda División average
+15%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
+12%
Our expected goals here
2.01
1.01
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Eibar to win✓
46%
2.15
2.44 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Eibar (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Las Palmas +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.04
First team to score
Eibar to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Eibar / FT Eibar✓
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
Eibar – last 4
DWLW
15 Mar
vs Burgos
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Leganes
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Deportivo La Coruna
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Racing Santander
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Las Palmas – last 4
LWWD
16 Mar
@ Albacete
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs AD Ceuta FC
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Cultural Leonesa
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Mirandes
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eibar and Las Palmas.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Eibar vs Las Palmas?
On our numbers Eibar have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Las Palmas 28%.
How many goals will there be in Eibar vs Las Palmas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eibar vs Las Palmas?
Our predicted score is Eibar 1–1 Las Palmas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Eibar vs Las Palmas?
Eibar vs Las Palmas (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Zaragoza2
Racing Santander0