Almeria v Real Sociedad II Prediction & Expected Goals (29 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAlmeria to win ✓64% · @1.57

Double chanceAlmeria or draw ✓85% · @1.15

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26

Almeria vs Real Sociedad II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Almeria welcome Real Sociedad II to UD Almería Stadium for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 29 March (20:00 WAT). In the table, Almeria are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 13 matches; Real Sociedad II are 17th (lower half) with 12. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Almeria, last 4: WWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Huesca, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Real Sociedad II, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Granada CF, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Almeria, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Real Sociedad II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Almeria 2.2 xG, Real Sociedad II 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 60%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Almeria 64%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad II 15%.
Lower-risk option: Almeria or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almeria 2–0 Real Sociedad II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Almeria64%fair 1.55 · @1.57

Draw21%fair 4.78 · @4.10

Real Sociedad II15%fair 6.83 · @5.30

3.10Expected goals

2.23Almeria xG

0.87Real Sociedad II xG

60%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%

1–010%

2–110%

1–19%

3–08%

3–17%

From our goals model: Almeria 2.2 – 0.9 Real Sociedad II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Almeria	Real Sociedad II
Attack vs Segunda División average	+32%	-11%
Goals conceded vs average	-26%	+16%
Our expected goals here	2.41	0.78

Almeria

Real Sociedad II

Attack vs Segunda División average

+32%

-11%

Goals conceded vs average

-26%

+16%

Our expected goals here

2.41

0.78

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Almeria to win ✓	64%	1.55	1.57
Double chance	Almeria or draw ✓	85%	1.17	1.15
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.66	1.62
Draw no bet	Almeria (draw no bet) ✓	81%	1.23	–
Asian handicap	Almeria -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	59%	1.70	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	63%	1.59	1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	79%	1.26	1.20
First team to score	Almeria to score first ✓	69%	1.46	–
Half-time result	Almeria ahead at half-time ✓	50%	2.01	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Almeria / FT Almeria ✓	45%	2.23	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.26	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Almeria to win ✓

64%

1.55

1.57

Double chance

Almeria or draw ✓

85%

1.17

1.15

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

60%

1.66

1.62

Draw no bet

Almeria (draw no bet) ✓

81%

1.23

–

Asian handicap

Almeria -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓

68%

1.47

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

80%

1.25

1.20

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

59%

1.70

1.62

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✗

63%

1.59

1.50

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✗

79%

1.26

1.20

First team to score

Almeria to score first ✓

69%

1.46

–

Half-time result

Almeria ahead at half-time ✓

50%

2.01

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Almeria / FT Almeria ✓

45%

2.23

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

10%

10.26

–

Recent results

Head to head

Segunda División table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Team

Pts

+14

+18

-1

+10

-2

-2

-6

-6

-7

-12

-5

-2

-11

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Almeria vs Real Sociedad II?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Almeria vs Real Sociedad II?

On our numbers Almeria have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Sociedad II 15%.

How many goals will there be in Almeria vs Real Sociedad II?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Almeria vs Real Sociedad II?

Our predicted score is Almeria 2–0 Real Sociedad II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Almeria vs Real Sociedad II?

Almeria vs Real Sociedad II (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at UD Almería Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

20 Mar	@ Huesca	3–1	W
9 Mar	vs Cultural Leonesa	3–0	W
27 Feb	@ Albacete	1–1	D
13 Feb	vs FC Andorra	3–2	W

22 Mar	vs Granada CF	0–2	L
18 Mar	@ Crystal Palace U21	3–0	W
15 Mar	@ Cordoba	2–0	W
1 Mar	vs Deportivo La Coruna	2–3	L
23 Feb	@ Cadiz	2–0	W
16 Feb	vs Malaga	2–1	W

Almeria v Real Sociedad II: numbers & prediction

Almeria

Real Sociedad II

Over 1.5 goals

Picks by market

Almeria vs Real Sociedad II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

Team ratings (Betarazi)

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Almeria – last 4

Real Sociedad II – last 6

Head to head

Segunda División table

More Segunda División predictions

Frequently asked questions