Eibar v AD Ceuta FC Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultEibar to win ✓64% · @1.70

Double chanceEibar or draw ✓86% · @1.14

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64

Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Eibar v AD Ceuta FC in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua. In the table, Eibar are 4th, among the top four, on 23 points after 12 matches; AD Ceuta FC are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Eibar, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Sociedad II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

AD Ceuta FC, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Burgos, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Eibar 2.0 xG, AD Ceuta FC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Eibar 64%, draw 22%, AD Ceuta FC 14%.
Lower-risk option: Eibar or draw (86%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Eibar to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eibar 2–0 AD Ceuta FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Eibar64%fair 1.57 · @1.70

Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.40

AD Ceuta FC14%fair 7.14 · @5.30

2.71Expected goals

2.01Eibar xG

0.70AD Ceuta FC xG

53%Both score

48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%

1–013%

2–19%

1–19%

3–09%

0–07%

From our goals model: Eibar 2.0 – 0.7 AD Ceuta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Eibar	AD Ceuta FC
Attack vs Segunda División average	+15%	-31%
Goals conceded vs average	-21%	+35%
Our expected goals here	2.43	0.65

Eibar

AD Ceuta FC

Attack vs Segunda División average

+15%

-31%

Goals conceded vs average

-21%

+35%

Our expected goals here

2.43

0.65

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Eibar to win ✓	64%	1.57	1.70 ▲
Double chance	Eibar or draw ✓	86%	1.16	1.14
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	53%	1.89	1.95
Draw no bet	Eibar (draw no bet) ✓	82%	1.22	–
Asian handicap	Eibar -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.91	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	73%	1.36	1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	1.08
First team to score	Eibar to score first ✓	69%	1.44	–
Half-time result	Eibar ahead at half-time ✓	48%	2.07	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Eibar / FT Eibar ✓	44%	2.27	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.64	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Eibar to win ✓

64%

1.57

1.70 ▲

Double chance

Eibar or draw ✓

86%

1.16

1.14

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

53%

1.89

1.95

Draw no bet

Eibar (draw no bet) ✓

82%

1.22

–

Asian handicap

Eibar -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓

68%

1.47

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

72%

1.39

1.38

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✗

52%

1.91

1.70

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

73%

1.36

1.25

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

87%

1.15

1.08

First team to score

Eibar to score first ✓

69%

1.44

–

Half-time result

Eibar ahead at half-time ✓

48%

2.07

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Eibar / FT Eibar ✓

44%

2.27

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

10.64

–

Recent results

Head to head

Segunda División table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Team

Pts

+14

+18

-1

+10

-2

-2

-6

-6

-7

-12

-5

-2

-11

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC?

On our numbers Eibar have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AD Ceuta FC 14%.

How many goals will there be in Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC?

Our predicted score is Eibar 2–0 AD Ceuta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC?

Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

2 Apr	@ Real Sociedad II	1–0	W
29 Mar	vs Las Palmas	3–1	W
15 Mar	vs Burgos	0–0	D
8 Mar	@ Leganes	1–0	W
21 Feb	@ Deportivo La Coruna	0–1	L
15 Feb	vs Racing Santander	2–1	W

1 Apr	@ Burgos	1–1	D
28 Mar	vs Cadiz	2–1	W
8 Mar	@ Las Palmas	0–4	L
1 Mar	@ Mirandes	1–0	W
25 Feb	vs Cordoba	3–2	W
20 Feb	vs Granada CF	2–1	W

Eibar v AD Ceuta FC: numbers & prediction

Eibar

AD Ceuta FC

Over 1.5 goals

Picks by market

Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

Team ratings (Betarazi)

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Eibar – last 6

AD Ceuta FC – last 6

Head to head

Segunda División table

More Segunda División predictions

Frequently asked questions