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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Liège v AS Eupen: numbers & prediction

Challenger Pro League · Belgium · Stade de Rocourt

Liège

WDLW
2–1
FT
Liège 35%Draw 24%AS Eupen 41% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.71
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: AS Eupen to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAS Eupen to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.20

Liège vs AS Eupen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Liège welcome AS Eupen to Stade de Rocourt for a Challenger Pro League fixture on Friday 17 April (19:00 WAT). In the table, Liège are 15th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 9 matches; AS Eupen are 3rd (among the top four) with 18. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Liège, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Olympic Charleroi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

AS Eupen, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Beerschot VA, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Liège 1.5 xG, AS Eupen 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Liège 35%, draw 24%, AS Eupen 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: AS Eupen to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liège 1–1 AS Eupen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Liège35%fair 2.83 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.25
AS Eupen41%fair 2.44 · @2.70
3.19Expected goals
1.47Liège xG
1.71AS Eupen xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%

From our goals model: Liège 1.5 – 1.7 AS Eupen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAS Eupen to win ✗41%2.442.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.57
Draw no betAS Eupen (draw no bet) ✗54%1.86–
Asian handicapLiège +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scoreAS Eupen to score first52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT AS Eupen / FT AS Eupen ✗26%3.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.20–

Recent results

Liège – last 4

WDLW
5 Aprvs Olympic Charleroi2–1W
10 Mar@ Patro Eisden1–1D
27 Feb@ Kortrijk1–3L
20 Febvs Club Brugge II3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

AS Eupen – last 6

DDWLWD
10 Aprvs Beerschot VA3–3D
20 Marvs Seraing United0–0D
13 Mar@ RSC Anderlecht II1–0W
10 Marvs K. Lierse S.K.0–1L
6 Marvs KAA Gent II4–0W
1 Mar@ RWDM2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Liège and AS Eupen.

Liège vs AS Eupen head-to-head page →

Challenger Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Beerschot VA10901+1727
2Dender10622+820
3AS Eupen9603+718
4Francs Borains9603+118
5Patro Eisden10505015
6Sporting Hasselt9504-215
7Lokeren-Temse9423+214
8Excelsior Virton9414+313
9KAA Gent II9333-212
10KRC Genk II10244-310
11Club Brugge II9234-79
12Seraing United10226-58
13K. Lierse S.K.9225-58
14RSC Anderlecht II9216-57
15Liège9126-95

More Challenger Pro League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Liège vs AS Eupen?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Liège vs AS Eupen?

On our numbers Liège have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AS Eupen 41%.

How many goals will there be in Liège vs AS Eupen?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Liège vs AS Eupen?

Our predicted score is Liège 1–1 AS Eupen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Liège vs AS Eupen?

Liège vs AS Eupen (Challenger Pro League) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Rocourt.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.