Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: AS Eupen to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAS Eupen to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Liège vs AS Eupen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Liège welcome AS Eupen to Stade de Rocourt for a Challenger Pro League fixture on Friday 17 April (19:00 WAT). In the table, Liège are 15th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 9 matches; AS Eupen are 3rd (among the top four) with 18. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Liège, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Olympic Charleroi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
AS Eupen, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Beerschot VA, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Liège 1.5 xG, AS Eupen 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Liège 35%, draw 24%, AS Eupen 41%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: AS Eupen to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liège 1–1 AS Eupen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Liège35%fair 2.83 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.25
AS Eupen41%fair 2.44 · @2.70
3.19Expected goals
1.47Liège xG
1.71AS Eupen xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Liège 1.5 – 1.7 AS Eupen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AS Eupen to win✗
41%
2.44
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Draw no bet
AS Eupen (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Liège +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
AS Eupen to score first
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AS Eupen / FT AS Eupen✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.20
–
Recent results
Liège – last 4
WDLW
5 Apr
vs Olympic Charleroi
2–1
W
10 Mar
@ Patro Eisden
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Kortrijk
1–3
L
20 Feb
vs Club Brugge II
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
AS Eupen – last 6
DDWLWD
10 Apr
vs Beerschot VA
3–3
D
20 Mar
vs Seraing United
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ RSC Anderlecht II
1–0
W
10 Mar
vs K. Lierse S.K.
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs KAA Gent II
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ RWDM
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liège and AS Eupen.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Liège vs AS Eupen?
On our numbers Liège have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AS Eupen 41%.
How many goals will there be in Liège vs AS Eupen?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liège vs AS Eupen?
Our predicted score is Liège 1–1 AS Eupen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Liège vs AS Eupen?
Liège vs AS Eupen (Challenger Pro League) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Rocourt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.