Beerschot VA 54%Draw 22%Lommel United 24%Expected goals 1.99 – 1.08
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Beerschot VA to win @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBeerschot VA to win ✓54% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.08
Beerschot VA vs Lommel United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 17 April the Challenger Pro League brings Beerschot VA against Lommel United at Olympisch Stadion. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Beerschot VA, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with AS Eupen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.6 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Lommel United, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Francs Borains, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Beerschot VA, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Lommel United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Beerschot VA 2.0 xG, Lommel United 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Beerschot VA 54%, draw 22%, Lommel United 24%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Beerschot VA to win @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beerschot VA 1–1 Lommel United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Beerschot VA54%fair 1.86 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.45
Lommel United24%fair 4.17 · @3.40
3.08Expected goals
1.99Beerschot VA xG
1.08Lommel United xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Beerschot VA 2.0 – 1.1 Lommel United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beerschot VA to win✓
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Draw no bet
Beerschot VA (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Lommel United +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Beerschot VA to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Beerschot VA ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beerschot VA / FT Beerschot VA✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Beerschot VA – last 5
DWWWD
10 Apr
@ AS Eupen
3–3
D
20 Mar
@ Patro Eisden
4–0
W
10 Mar
vs RSC Anderlecht II
4–2
W
6 Mar
vs KRC Genk II
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs RWDM
1–1
D
2.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Lommel United – last 3
WDL
15 Mar
vs Francs Borains
3–1
W
11 Mar
@ KAA Gent II
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs Seraing United
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beerschot VA and Lommel United.
What is the prediction for Beerschot VA vs Lommel United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Beerschot VA vs Lommel United?
On our numbers Beerschot VA have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lommel United 24%.
How many goals will there be in Beerschot VA vs Lommel United?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beerschot VA vs Lommel United?
Our predicted score is Beerschot VA 1–1 Lommel United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Beerschot VA vs Lommel United?
Beerschot VA vs Lommel United (Challenger Pro League) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Olympisch Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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