Value bet: US Hostert to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUS Hostert to win ✓48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Swift Hesperange welcome US Hostert to Stade Alphonse Theis for a National Division fixture on Sunday 10 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, Swift Hesperange are 16th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 12 matches; US Hostert are 11th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Swift Hesperange, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Rodange 91, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
US Hostert, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Atert Bissen, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Swift Hesperange 1.0 xG, US Hostert 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Swift Hesperange 28%, draw 23%, US Hostert 48%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: US Hostert to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Swift Hesperange 1–1 US Hostert. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Swift Hesperange28%fair 3.52 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.50
US Hostert48%fair 2.06 · @2.25
2.78Expected goals
1.01Swift Hesperange xG
1.76US Hostert xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–210%
1–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Swift Hesperange 1.0 – 1.8 US Hostert expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
US Hostert to win✓
48%
2.06
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.50
Draw no bet
US Hostert (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Swift Hesperange +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
US Hostert to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT US Hostert / FT US Hostert✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Swift Hesperange – last 5
LLLWD
22 Mar
@ Rodange 91
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Mamer
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Atert Bissen
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs UN Kaerjeng 97
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Progres Niederkorn
1–1
D
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
US Hostert – last 6
LWLLLW
19 Apr
vs Atert Bissen
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ AS Jeunesse Esch
3–2
W
15 Mar
vs Progres Niederkorn
1–5
L
8 Mar
@ FC Differdange 03
2–3
L
4 Mar
@ Fola Esch
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs UNA Strassen
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swift Hesperange and US Hostert.
What is the prediction for Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert?
On our numbers Swift Hesperange have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and US Hostert 48%.
How many goals will there be in Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert?
Our predicted score is Swift Hesperange 1–1 US Hostert, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert?
Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert (National Division) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Alphonse Theis.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rodange 912
Mamer3
Jeunesse Canach0
Union Titus Petange3