Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUS Mondorf-les-bains to win ✗57% · @1.67
Double chanceUS Mondorf-les-bains or draw ✗79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
US Mondorf-les-bains travel to face Victoria Rosport on Sunday 10 May in the National Division, with Party-Rent-Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Victoria Rosport are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; US Mondorf-les-bains are 3rd (among the top four) with 27. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Victoria Rosport, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Feulen, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
US Mondorf-les-bains, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with F91 Dudelange, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Victoria Rosport 1.2 xG, US Mondorf-les-bains 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Victoria Rosport 21%, draw 23%, US Mondorf-les-bains 57%.
Lower-risk option: US Mondorf-les-bains or draw (79%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Victoria Rosport 1–1 US Mondorf-les-bains. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Victoria Rosport21%fair 4.86 · @4.20
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.80
US Mondorf-les-bains57%fair 1.76 · @1.67
3.17Expected goals
1.21Victoria Rosport xG
1.96US Mondorf-les-bains xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Victoria Rosport 1.2 – 2.0 US Mondorf-les-bains expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
US Mondorf-les-bains to win✗
57%
1.76
1.67
Double chance
US Mondorf-les-bains or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
US Mondorf-les-bains (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Victoria Rosport +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
US Mondorf-les-bains to score first✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
US Mondorf-les-bains ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT US Mondorf-les-bains / FT US Mondorf-les-bains✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Victoria Rosport – last 6
WLLWWW
22 Apr
@ Feulen
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ FC Differdange 03
0–3
L
22 Mar
vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3–4
L
15 Mar
@ Mamer
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Atert Bissen
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Mamer
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
US Mondorf-les-bains – last 6
DWLLWW
19 Apr
@ F91 Dudelange
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Jeunesse Canach
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1–3
L
4 Mar
@ Atert Bissen
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Atert Bissen
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ UN Kaerjeng 97
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Victoria Rosport and US Mondorf-les-bains.
What is the prediction for Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
On our numbers Victoria Rosport have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and US Mondorf-les-bains 57%.
How many goals will there be in Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
Our predicted score is Victoria Rosport 1–1 US Mondorf-les-bains, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains (National Division) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Party-Rent-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rodange 912
Mamer3
Jeunesse Canach0
Union Titus Petange3