Swift Hesperange v Victoria Rosport Prediction & Expected Goals (17 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultVictoria Rosport to win ✗46% · @3.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Swift Hesperange v Victoria Rosport in the National Division, played at Stade Alphonse Theis. In the table, Swift Hesperange are 16th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 12 matches; Victoria Rosport are 12th (lower half) with 11.

Current form

Swift Hesperange, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to US Hostert, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Victoria Rosport, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over US Mondorf-les-bains, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Victoria Rosport, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Swift Hesperange.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Swift Hesperange 1.1 xG, Victoria Rosport 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Swift Hesperange 32%, draw 22%, Victoria Rosport 46%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Victoria Rosport to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Swift Hesperange 1–1 Victoria Rosport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Swift Hesperange32%fair 3.11 · @2.05

Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.35

Victoria Rosport46%fair 2.19 · @3.10

2.80Expected goals

1.05Swift Hesperange xG

1.75Victoria Rosport xG

56%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

0–111%

1–210%

0–29%

1–06%

0–06%

From our goals model: Swift Hesperange 1.1 – 1.7 Victoria Rosport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Victoria Rosport to win ✗	46%	2.19	3.10 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.28	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.79	1.73
Draw no bet	Victoria Rosport (draw no bet) ✗	59%	1.70	–
Asian handicap	Swift Hesperange +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.98	1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	71%	1.41	1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
First team to score	Victoria Rosport to score first ✗	59%	1.71	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.47	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Victoria Rosport / FT Victoria Rosport ✗	33%	3.03	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.23	–

Swift Hesperange – last 6

LLLLWD

10 May	vs US Hostert	0–1	L
22 Mar	@ Rodange 91	0–2	L
8 Mar	vs Mamer	0–1	L
1 Mar	@ Atert Bissen	0–2	L
22 Feb	vs UN Kaerjeng 97	2–1	W
15 Feb	@ Progres Niederkorn	1–1	D

0.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Victoria Rosport – last 6

WWLLWW

10 May	vs US Mondorf-les-bains	1–0	W
22 Apr	@ Feulen	2–1	W
19 Apr	@ FC Differdange 03	0–3	L
22 Mar	vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg	3–4	L
15 Mar	@ Mamer	2–0	W
8 Mar	vs Atert Bissen	1–0	W

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UNA Strassen	12	11	1	0	+20	34
2	FC Differdange 03	12	11	0	1	+26	33
3	US Mondorf-les-bains	12	9	0	3	+4	27
4	Atert Bissen	12	8	1	3	+16	25
5	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	12	6	4	2	+18	22
6	Progres Niederkorn	12	7	1	4	+10	22
7	UN Kaerjeng 97	12	7	0	5	+10	21
8	Résidence Walferdange	12	5	2	5	-3	17
9	F91 Dudelange	12	5	1	6	+2	16
10	AS Jeunesse Esch	12	4	1	7	-5	13
11	US Hostert	12	3	2	7	-6	11
12	Victoria Rosport	12	3	2	7	-8	11
13	US Rumelange	12	3	2	7	-15	11
14	Etzella Ettelbruck	12	2	2	8	-14	8
15	Wiltz	12	1	3	8	-13	6
16	Swift Hesperange	12	0	0	12	-42	0

Team

Pts

+20

+26

+16

Racing FC Union Luxembourg

+18

Progres Niederkorn

+10

UN Kaerjeng 97

+10

Résidence Walferdange

-3

-5

-6

-8

-15

-14

-13

-42

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport?

On our numbers Swift Hesperange have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Victoria Rosport 46%.

How many goals will there be in Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport?

Our predicted score is Swift Hesperange 1–1 Victoria Rosport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport?

Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport (National Division) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Alphonse Theis.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Swift Hesperange v Victoria Rosport: numbers & prediction