Erzgebirge Aue 44%Draw 23%Hoffenheim II 32%Expected goals 1.78 – 1.37
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultErzgebirge Aue to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hoffenheim II travel to face Erzgebirge Aue on Saturday 4 April in the 3. Liga, with Erzgebirgsstadion the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT.
Current form
Erzgebirge Aue, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to TSV 1860 München, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Hoffenheim II, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to VfL Osnabrück, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Erzgebirge Aue 1.8 xG, Hoffenheim II 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Erzgebirge Aue 44%, draw 23%, Hoffenheim II 32%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Erzgebirge Aue 1–1 Hoffenheim II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Erzgebirge Aue44%fair 2.27 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.65
Hoffenheim II32%fair 3.09 · @2.75
3.15Expected goals
1.78Erzgebirge Aue xG
1.37Hoffenheim II xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Erzgebirge Aue 1.8 – 1.4 Hoffenheim II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Erzgebirge Aue to win✗
44%
2.27
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Draw no bet
Erzgebirge Aue (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Hoffenheim II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
First team to score
Erzgebirge Aue to score first
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erzgebirge Aue / FT Erzgebirge Aue✗
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.76
–
Recent results
Erzgebirge Aue – last 3
LLD
3 Mar
@ TSV 1860 München
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Energie Cottbus
1–2
L
13 Feb
@ FC Viktoria Köln
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Hoffenheim II – last 5
LLWLL
22 Mar
vs VfL Osnabrück
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Stuttgart II
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ SSV Ulm 1846
3–1
W
27 Feb
vs TSV 1860 München
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs FC Viktoria Köln
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erzgebirge Aue and Hoffenheim II.
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim II?
On our numbers Erzgebirge Aue have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hoffenheim II 32%.
How many goals will there be in Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim II?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim II?
Our predicted score is Erzgebirge Aue 1–1 Hoffenheim II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim II?
Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim II (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Erzgebirgsstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.