Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultRot-Weiß Essen to win51% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.59
Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rot-Weiß Essen welcome MSV Duisburg to Stadion an der Hafenstrasse for a 3. Liga fixture on Saturday 4 April (15:30 WAT). In the table, Rot-Weiß Essen are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 13 matches; MSV Duisburg are 2nd (among the top four) with 29. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
MSV Duisburg, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over TSV 1860 München, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rot-Weiß Essen 1.8 xG, MSV Duisburg 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rot-Weiß Essen 51%, draw 24%, MSV Duisburg 25%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rot-Weiß Essen 1–1 MSV Duisburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rot-Weiß Essen51%fair 1.96 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.65
MSV Duisburg25%fair 4.08 · @3.85
3.08Expected goals
1.77Rot-Weiß Essen xG
1.30MSV Duisburg xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Rot-Weiß Essen 1.8 – 1.3 MSV Duisburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rot-Weiß Essen to win
51%
1.96
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.66
1.60
Draw no bet
Rot-Weiß Essen (draw no bet)
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
MSV Duisburg +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.55
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.17
First team to score
Rot-Weiß Essen to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rot-Weiß Essen / FT Rot-Weiß Essen
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.59
–
Recent results
Rot-Weiß Essen – last 2
WL
4 Mar
vs Waldhof Mannheim
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ VfL Osnabrück
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
MSV Duisburg – last 5
WWDDW
22 Mar
vs TSV 1860 München
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs FC Saarbrücken
4–2
W
4 Mar
@ FC Ingolstadt 04
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Havelse
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs FC Schweinfurt 05
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rot-Weiß Essen and MSV Duisburg.
What is the prediction for Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg?
On our numbers Rot-Weiß Essen have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 24% and MSV Duisburg 25%.
How many goals will there be in Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg?
Our predicted score is Rot-Weiß Essen 1–1 MSV Duisburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg?
Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion an der Hafenstrasse.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Erzgebirge Aue3
TSV 1860 München1
Energie Cottbus3
VfL Osnabrück4
FC Schweinfurt 050