MSV Duisburg vs VfL Osnabrück: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Tuesday 7 April: MSV Duisburg v VfL Osnabrück in the 3. Liga, played at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena.
Current form
MSV Duisburg, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over TSV 1860 München, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
VfL Osnabrück, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over FC Schweinfurt 05, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours VfL Osnabrück, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.2 for MSV Duisburg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MSV Duisburg 1.5 xG, VfL Osnabrück 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MSV Duisburg 38%, draw 26%, VfL Osnabrück 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: MSV Duisburg 1–1 VfL Osnabrück. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MSV Duisburg38%fair 2.61 · @2.75
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.10
VfL Osnabrück36%fair 2.78 · @2.60
2.84Expected goals
1.52MSV Duisburg xG
1.32VfL Osnabrück xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: MSV Duisburg 1.5 – 1.3 VfL Osnabrück expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MSV Duisburg to win✓
38%
2.61
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.77
Draw no bet
MSV Duisburg (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
VfL Osnabrück +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.08
First team to score
MSV Duisburg to score first✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MSV Duisburg / FT MSV Duisburg✓
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.22
–
Recent results
MSV Duisburg – last 5
WWDDW
22 Mar
vs TSV 1860 München
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs FC Saarbrücken
4–2
W
4 Mar
@ FC Ingolstadt 04
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Havelse
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs FC Schweinfurt 05
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
VfL Osnabrück – last 4
WWWW
4 Apr
vs FC Schweinfurt 05
4–0
W
22 Mar
@ Hoffenheim II
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs FC Viktoria Köln
2–0
W
21 Feb
vs Rot-Weiß Essen
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MSV Duisburg and VfL Osnabrück.
What is the prediction for MSV Duisburg vs VfL Osnabrück?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win MSV Duisburg vs VfL Osnabrück?
On our numbers MSV Duisburg have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and VfL Osnabrück 36%.
How many goals will there be in MSV Duisburg vs VfL Osnabrück?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MSV Duisburg vs VfL Osnabrück?
Our predicted score is MSV Duisburg 1–1 VfL Osnabrück, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is MSV Duisburg vs VfL Osnabrück?
MSV Duisburg vs VfL Osnabrück (3. Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Energie Cottbus3
TSV 1860 München0
Erzgebirge Aue0
FC Schweinfurt 051