Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Erzgebirge Aue to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSSV Jahn Regensburg to win ✓42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Erzgebirge Aue: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 7 April the 3. Liga brings SSV Jahn Regensburg against Erzgebirge Aue at Jahnstadion Regensburg. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Erzgebirge Aue, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Hoffenheim II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SSV Jahn Regensburg 1.6 xG, Erzgebirge Aue 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SSV Jahn Regensburg 42%, draw 24%, Erzgebirge Aue 34%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Erzgebirge Aue to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–1 Erzgebirge Aue. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SSV Jahn Regensburg42%fair 2.37 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.55
Erzgebirge Aue34%fair 2.95 · @3.20
3.06Expected goals
1.57SSV Jahn Regensburg xG
1.48Erzgebirge Aue xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: SSV Jahn Regensburg 1.6 – 1.5 Erzgebirge Aue expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SSV Jahn Regensburg to win✓
42%
2.37
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Draw no bet
SSV Jahn Regensburg (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Erzgebirge Aue +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
First team to score
SSV Jahn Regensburg to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SSV Jahn Regensburg / FT SSV Jahn Regensburg✓
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
SSV Jahn Regensburg – last 2
WW
3 Mar
@ Verl
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs SV Wehen
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Erzgebirge Aue – last 4
LLLD
4 Apr
vs Hoffenheim II
3–5
L
3 Mar
@ TSV 1860 München
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Energie Cottbus
1–2
L
13 Feb
@ FC Viktoria Köln
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SSV Jahn Regensburg and Erzgebirge Aue.
What is the prediction for SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Erzgebirge Aue?
On our numbers SSV Jahn Regensburg have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Erzgebirge Aue 34%.
How many goals will there be in SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Erzgebirge Aue?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Our predicted score is SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–1 Erzgebirge Aue, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Erzgebirge Aue?
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Erzgebirge Aue (3. Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Jahnstadion Regensburg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Energie Cottbus3
TSV 1860 München0
VfL Osnabrück0
FC Schweinfurt 051