Kasımpaşa v Eyüpspor: numbers & prediction

Kasımpaşa vs Eyüpspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Kasımpaşa v Eyüpspor in the Süper Lig, played at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu. In the table, Kasımpaşa are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 11 matches; Eyüpspor are 18th (in the drop zone) with 3. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kasımpaşa, last 4: DLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Konyaspor, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Eyüpspor, last 4: LLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kocaelispor, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Kasımpaşa, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.8 for Eyüpspor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kasımpaşa 2.1 xG, Eyüpspor 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Kasımpaşa 65%, draw 20%, Eyüpspor 15%.
• Lower-risk option: Kasımpaşa or draw (85%) at 1.22.
• GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.75.
• Price worth noting: Kasımpaşa to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 65%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kasımpaşa or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kasımpaşa 2–0 Eyüpspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.