Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
2
Value bet: Kayserispor to win @ 3.80 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSamsunspor to win ✓42% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.84
Samsunspor vs Kayserispor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Samsunspor welcome Kayserispor to Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu for a Süper Lig fixture on Sunday 15 March (18:00 WAT).
Current form
Samsunspor, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Rayo Vallecano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Kayserispor, last 4: LDWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Trabzonspor, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Samsunspor 1.4 xG, Kayserispor 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Samsunspor 42%, draw 24%, Kayserispor 33%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Kayserispor to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samsunspor 1–1 Kayserispor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Samsunspor42%fair 2.36 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.25
Kayserispor33%fair 3.01 · @3.80
2.96Expected goals
1.38Samsunspor xG
1.58Kayserispor xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Samsunspor 1.4 – 1.6 Kayserispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Samsunspor to win✓
42%
2.36
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Samsunspor (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Samsunspor +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Kayserispor to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kayserispor / FT Kayserispor✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.84
–
Recent results
Samsunspor – last 6
LLWDWD
12 Mar
vs Rayo Vallecano
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ Fenerbahçe
2–3
L
5 Mar
@ Antalyaspor
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Gaziantep FK
0–0
D
26 Feb
vs Shkendija
4–0
W
22 Feb
@ Fatih Karagümrük
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kayserispor – last 4
LDWD
9 Mar
vs Trabzonspor
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Antalyaspor
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Göztepe
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Samsunspor and Kayserispor.
What is the prediction for Samsunspor vs Kayserispor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Samsunspor vs Kayserispor?
On our numbers Samsunspor have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kayserispor 33%.
How many goals will there be in Samsunspor vs Kayserispor?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samsunspor vs Kayserispor?
Our predicted score is Samsunspor 1–1 Kayserispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Samsunspor vs Kayserispor?
Samsunspor vs Kayserispor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
