Beşiktaş 62%Draw 22%Kasımpaşa 16%Expected goals 1.81 – 0.94
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultBeşiktaş to win ✓62% · @1.35
Double chanceBeşiktaş or draw ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.16
Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 19 March the Süper Lig brings Beşiktaş against Kasımpaşa at Tupras Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Beşiktaş are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 11 matches; Kasımpaşa are 5th (upper half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Beşiktaş, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gençlerbirliği S.K., away. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Kasımpaşa, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Eyüpspor, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Beşiktaş, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.6 for Kasımpaşa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Beşiktaş 1.8 xG, Kasımpaşa 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Beşiktaş 62%, draw 22%, Kasımpaşa 16%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beşiktaş 1–0 Kasımpaşa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Beşiktaş62%fair 1.62 · @1.35
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @4.85
Kasımpaşa16%fair 6.18 · @8.10
2.75Expected goals
1.81Beşiktaş xG
0.94Kasımpaşa xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Beşiktaş 1.8 – 0.9 Kasımpaşa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beşiktaş to win✓
62%
1.62
1.35
Double chance
Beşiktaş or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Draw no bet
Beşiktaş (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Kasımpaşa +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.22
First team to score
Beşiktaş to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Beşiktaş ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beşiktaş / FT Beşiktaş✓
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Beşiktaş – last 4
WWWW
15 Mar
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs Rizespor
4–1
W
22 Feb
vs Göztepe
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ Başakşehir
3–2
W
3.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Kasımpaşa – last 5
WDLDW
15 Mar
vs Eyüpspor
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Konyaspor
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Rizespor
0–3
L
23 Feb
@ Fenerbahçe
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Fatih Karagümrük
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beşiktaş and Kasımpaşa.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa?
On our numbers Beşiktaş have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kasımpaşa 16%.
How many goals will there be in Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa?
Our predicted score is Beşiktaş 1–0 Kasımpaşa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa?
Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa (Süper Lig) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Tupras Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kayserispor1
Fatih Karagümrük0