Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kayserispor welcome Fatih Karagümrük to Kadir Has Stadium for a Süper Lig fixture on Thursday 19 March (14:00 WAT).
Current form
Kayserispor, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Samsunspor, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Fatih Karagümrük, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fenerbahçe, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kayserispor 1.6 xG, Fatih Karagümrük 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kayserispor 48%, draw 24%, Fatih Karagümrük 28%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kayserispor 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kayserispor48%fair 2.08 · @1.97
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.50
Fatih Karagümrük28%fair 3.63 · @3.65
2.66Expected goals
1.60Kayserispor xG
1.06Fatih Karagümrük xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kayserispor 1.6 – 1.1 Fatih Karagümrük expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kayserispor to win✓
48%
2.08
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.73
Draw no bet
Kayserispor (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Fatih Karagümrük +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Kayserispor to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kayserispor / FT Kayserispor✗
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Kayserispor – last 5
LLDWD
15 Mar
@ Samsunspor
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs Trabzonspor
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Antalyaspor
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Göztepe
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Fatih Karagümrük – last 6
WDWLDL
13 Mar
vs Fenerbahçe
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Gaziantep FK
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Fethiyespor
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ Trabzonspor
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Samsunspor
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ Kasımpaşa
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kayserispor and Fatih Karagümrük.
What is the prediction for Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
On our numbers Kayserispor have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fatih Karagümrük 28%.
How many goals will there be in Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Our predicted score is Kayserispor 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük (Süper Lig) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Kadir Has Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Beşiktaş2
Kasımpaşa1
Konyaspor1
Gençlerbirliği S.K.0