Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAntalyaspor to win ✓51% · @1.51
Double chanceAntalyaspor or draw ✓77% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.71
Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Antalyaspor v Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig, played at Corendon Airlines Park.
Current form
Antalyaspor, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Konyaspor, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Kocaelispor, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gençlerbirliği S.K., away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Antalyaspor 1.3 xG, Kocaelispor 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Antalyaspor 51%, draw 26%, Kocaelispor 23%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Antalyaspor 1–1 Kocaelispor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Antalyaspor51%fair 1.97 · @1.51
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.90
Kocaelispor23%fair 4.29 · @6.50
2.35Expected goals
1.32Antalyaspor xG
1.04Kocaelispor xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Antalyaspor 1.3 – 1.0 Kocaelispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Antalyaspor to win✓
51%
1.97
1.51
Double chance
Antalyaspor or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Antalyaspor (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Kocaelispor +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.11
First team to score
Antalyaspor to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Antalyaspor / FT Antalyaspor✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.71
–
Recent results
Antalyaspor – last 6
LLWDLL
17 Apr
vs Konyaspor
0–2
L
10 Apr
@ Beşiktaş
2–4
L
5 Apr
vs Eyüpspor
3–0
W
18 Mar
@ Başakşehir
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Gaziantep FK
1–4
L
8 Mar
@ Rizespor
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kocaelispor – last 6
LDLLWL
26 Apr
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Başakşehir
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Alanyaspor
0–5
L
14 Mar
vs Konyaspor
1–2
L
9 Mar
@ Eyüpspor
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Antalyaspor and Kocaelispor.
What is the prediction for Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
On our numbers Antalyaspor have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kocaelispor 23%.
How many goals will there be in Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
Our predicted score is Antalyaspor 1–1 Kocaelispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Corendon Airlines Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kayserispor2