Kasımpaşa v Galatasaray Prediction & Expected Goals (17 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGalatasaray to win ✗40% · @2.28

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.08

Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kasımpaşa welcome Galatasaray to Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu for a Süper Lig fixture on Sunday 17 May (18:00 WAT). In the table, Kasımpaşa are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 11 matches; Galatasaray are 1st (leading the league) with 28.

Current form

Kasımpaşa, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Başakşehir, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Galatasaray, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gençlerbirliği S.K., at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kasımpaşa 1.5 xG, Galatasaray 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Kasımpaşa 36%, draw 24%, Galatasaray 40%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kasımpaşa 1–1 Galatasaray. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kasımpaşa36%fair 2.79 · @2.90

Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.50

Galatasaray40%fair 2.49 · @2.28

3.00Expected goals

1.52Kasımpaşa xG

1.48Galatasaray xG

63%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–28%

1–08%

0–17%

2–26%

From our goals model: Kasımpaşa 1.5 – 1.5 Galatasaray expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Galatasaray to win ✗	40%	2.49	2.28
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	63%	1.59	1.57
Draw no bet	Galatasaray (draw no bet) ✗	53%	1.89	–
Asian handicap	Galatasaray +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	78%	1.28	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.77	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.53	1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	81%	1.23	1.17
First team to score	Kasımpaşa to score first ✓	48%	2.07	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.52	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Kasımpaşa / FT Kasımpaşa ✓	23%	4.37	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.08	–

Kasımpaşa – last 6

LWWLWD

24 Apr	@ Başakşehir	0–4	L
19 Apr	vs Alanyaspor	1–0	W
4 Apr	vs Kayserispor	2–0	W
19 Mar	@ Beşiktaş	1–2	L
15 Mar	vs Eyüpspor	1–0	W
8 Mar	@ Konyaspor	1–1	D

1.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Galatasaray – last 6

LWLWWL

22 Apr	vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.	0–2	L
8 Apr	@ Göztepe	3–1	W
18 Mar	@ Liverpool	0–4	L
10 Mar	vs Liverpool	1–0	W
3 Mar	@ Alanyaspor	2–1	W
25 Feb	@ Juventus	0–3	L

1.0Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Galatasaray	11	9	1	1	+12	28
2	Trabzonspor	11	8	1	2	+18	25
3	Amed	11	7	2	2	+13	23
4	Beşiktaş	11	7	1	3	+11	22
5	Kasımpaşa	11	5	5	1	+6	20
6	Fenerbahçe	11	6	1	4	+19	19
7	Kocaelispor	11	6	1	4	+4	19
8	Başakşehir	11	5	2	4	+2	17
9	Çorum FK	11	5	1	5	0	16
10	Göztepe	11	4	3	4	+3	15
11	Rizespor	11	4	2	5	-3	14
12	Erzurumspor FK	11	4	2	5	-7	14
13	Alanyaspor	11	3	3	5	-9	12
14	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	11	3	2	6	-9	11
15	Konyaspor	11	2	2	7	-8	8
16	Gaziantep FK	11	2	2	7	-10	8
17	Samsunspor	11	2	1	8	-15	7
18	Eyüpspor	11	1	0	10	-27	3

Team

Pts

+12

+18

+13

+11

+19

-3

-7

-9

-9

-8

-10

-15

-27

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray?

On our numbers Kasımpaşa have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Galatasaray 40%.

How many goals will there be in Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray?

Our predicted score is Kasımpaşa 1–1 Galatasaray, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray?

Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Kasımpaşa v Galatasaray: numbers & prediction