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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cardiff Draconians v Ynyshir Albions: numbers & prediction

FAW Championship · Wales · Lydstep Park
Cardiff Draconians 44%Draw 22%Ynyshir Albions 34% Expected goals 1.44 – 1.47
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Ynyshir Albions to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCardiff Draconians to win ✓44% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.06

Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cardiff Draconians welcome Ynyshir Albions to Lydstep Park for a FAW Championship fixture on Tuesday 24 March (20:30 WAT). In the table, Cardiff Draconians are 14th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 11 matches; Ynyshir Albions are 6th (upper half) with 19.

Current form

Cardiff Draconians, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ammanford AFC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Ynyshir Albions, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cwmbran Celtic, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ynyshir Albions, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for Cardiff Draconians.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cardiff Draconians 1.4 xG, Ynyshir Albions 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cardiff Draconians 44%, draw 22%, Ynyshir Albions 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Ynyshir Albions to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cardiff Draconians 1–1 Ynyshir Albions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cardiff Draconians44%fair 2.27 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.50
Ynyshir Albions34%fair 2.96 · @3.25
2.90Expected goals
1.44Cardiff Draconians xG
1.47Ynyshir Albions xG
65%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: Cardiff Draconians 1.4 – 1.5 Ynyshir Albions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Cardiff DraconiansYnyshir Albions
Attack vs FAW Championship average-21%+4%
Goals conceded vs average-3%-12%
Our expected goals here1.241.68

Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCardiff Draconians to win ✓44%2.271.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.50
Draw no betCardiff Draconians (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapCardiff Draconians +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
First team to scoreYnyshir Albions to score first ✗48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ynyshir Albions / FT Ynyshir Albions ✗22%4.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.06–

Recent results

Cardiff Draconians – last 3

LLL
6 Mar@ Ammanford AFC1–2L
4 Mar@ Trefelin1–3L
21 Feb@ Treowen Stars0–1L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ynyshir Albions – last 3

WLL
6 Mar@ Cwmbran Celtic3–1W
24 Febvs Llantwit Major2–3L
20 Feb@ Trefelin0–2L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cardiff Draconians and Ynyshir Albions.

Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University11731+1924
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Baglan Dragons13625020
6Ynyshir Albions11542+719
7Afan Lido14536-218
8Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
9Treowen Stars12525-117
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions?

On our numbers Cardiff Draconians have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ynyshir Albions 34%.

How many goals will there be in Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions?

Our predicted score is Cardiff Draconians 1–1 Ynyshir Albions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions?

Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions (FAW Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Lydstep Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.