Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Ynyshir Albions to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCardiff Draconians to win ✓44% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.06
Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cardiff Draconians welcome Ynyshir Albions to Lydstep Park for a FAW Championship fixture on Tuesday 24 March (20:30 WAT). In the table, Cardiff Draconians are 14th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 11 matches; Ynyshir Albions are 6th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Cardiff Draconians, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ammanford AFC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Ynyshir Albions, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cwmbran Celtic, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ynyshir Albions, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for Cardiff Draconians.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cardiff Draconians 1.4 xG, Ynyshir Albions 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cardiff Draconians 44%, draw 22%, Ynyshir Albions 34%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Ynyshir Albions to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cardiff Draconians 1–1 Ynyshir Albions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cardiff Draconians44%fair 2.27 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.50
Ynyshir Albions34%fair 2.96 · @3.25
2.90Expected goals
1.44Cardiff Draconians xG
1.47Ynyshir Albions xG
65%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Cardiff Draconians 1.4 – 1.5 Ynyshir Albions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cardiff Draconians
Ynyshir Albions
Attack vs FAW Championship average
-21%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.24
1.68
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff Draconians to win✓
44%
2.27
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.50
Draw no bet
Cardiff Draconians (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Cardiff Draconians +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Ynyshir Albions to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ynyshir Albions / FT Ynyshir Albions✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.06
–
Recent results
Cardiff Draconians – last 3
LLL
6 Mar
@ Ammanford AFC
1–2
L
4 Mar
@ Trefelin
1–3
L
21 Feb
@ Treowen Stars
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ynyshir Albions – last 3
WLL
6 Mar
@ Cwmbran Celtic
3–1
W
24 Feb
vs Llantwit Major
2–3
L
20 Feb
@ Trefelin
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff Draconians and Ynyshir Albions.
What is the prediction for Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions?
On our numbers Cardiff Draconians have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ynyshir Albions 34%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions?
Our predicted score is Cardiff Draconians 1–1 Ynyshir Albions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions?
Cardiff Draconians vs Ynyshir Albions (FAW Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Lydstep Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.