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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Baglan Dragons v Cwmbran Celtic: numbers & prediction

FAW Championship · Wales · Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q

Baglan Dragons

LLWLL
0–0
FT

Cwmbran Celtic

LLL
Baglan Dragons 56%Draw 24%Cwmbran Celtic 20% Expected goals 1.69 – 1.05
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultBaglan Dragons to win ✗56% · @1.44
Double chanceBaglan Dragons or draw ✓80% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Tuesday 24 March: Baglan Dragons v Cwmbran Celtic in the FAW Championship, played at Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q.

Current form

Baglan Dragons, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ammanford AFC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.

Cwmbran Celtic, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Pontypridd Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Baglan Dragons, collecting 0.6 points per game to 0.0 for Cwmbran Celtic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Baglan Dragons 1.7 xG, Cwmbran Celtic 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Baglan Dragons 56%, draw 24%, Cwmbran Celtic 20%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baglan Dragons 1–1 Cwmbran Celtic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Baglan Dragons56%fair 1.79 · @1.44
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.80
Cwmbran Celtic20%fair 4.96 · @5.50
2.74Expected goals
1.69Baglan Dragons xG
1.05Cwmbran Celtic xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%

From our goals model: Baglan Dragons 1.7 – 1.1 Cwmbran Celtic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Baglan DragonsCwmbran Celtic
Attack vs FAW Championship average-35%-11%
Goals conceded vs average-24%+29%
Our expected goals here1.511.13

Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBaglan Dragons to win ✗56%1.791.44
Double chanceBaglan Dragons or draw ✓80%1.251.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.73
Draw no betBaglan Dragons (draw no bet)73%1.36–
Asian handicapCwmbran Celtic +1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.94–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreBaglan Dragons to score first ✗58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Baglan Dragons / FT Baglan Dragons ✗32%3.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Baglan Dragons – last 5

LLWLL
20 Mar@ Ammanford AFC0–1L
17 Mar@ Treowen Stars1–4L
6 Mar@ Newport City2–1W
21 Feb@ Pontypridd Town0–2L
17 Feb@ Trefelin0–3L
0.6Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Cwmbran Celtic – last 3

LLL
17 Marvs Pontypridd Town2–5L
10 Marvs Llantwit Major1–3L
6 Marvs Ynyshir Albions1–3L
1.3Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Baglan Dragons and Cwmbran Celtic.

Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University11731+1924
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Baglan Dragons13625020
6Ynyshir Albions11542+719
7Afan Lido14536-218
8Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
9Treowen Stars12525-117
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub
FT Cardiff Draconians4 Ynyshir Albions1 144%1.85X22%3.50234%3.25 1.4–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.50 ✓
FT Ammanford AFC0 Cambrian & Clydach0 123%4.20X24%3.40253%1.67 1.2–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.67 ✗
FT Flint Mountain1 Guilsfield0 130%3.10X23%3.75247%1.91 1.3–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.65 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic?

On our numbers Baglan Dragons have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cwmbran Celtic 20%.

How many goals will there be in Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Our predicted score is Baglan Dragons 1–1 Cwmbran Celtic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic (FAW Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.