Afan Lido 26%Draw 23%Newport City 51%Expected goals 1.40 – 1.70
58%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultNewport City to win ✓51% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Afan Lido vs Newport City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Friday 13 February: Afan Lido v Newport City in the FAW Championship, played at Princess Margaret Way. In the table, Afan Lido are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Newport City are 13th (lower half) with 13.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Afan Lido 1.4 xG, Newport City 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Afan Lido 26%, draw 23%, Newport City 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Afan Lido 1–2 Newport City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Afan Lido26%fair 3.82 · @4.10
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.65
Newport City51%fair 1.95 · @1.67
3.10Expected goals
1.40Afan Lido xG
1.70Newport City xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Afan Lido 1.4 – 1.7 Newport City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Afan Lido
Newport City
Attack vs FAW Championship average
-2%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.86
1.71
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newport City to win✓
51%
1.95
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Newport City (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Afan Lido +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Newport City to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newport City / FT Newport City✓
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Afan Lido
No recent results on record.
Newport City
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Afan Lido and Newport City.
What is the prediction for Afan Lido vs Newport City?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Afan Lido vs Newport City?
On our numbers Afan Lido have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Newport City 51%.
How many goals will there be in Afan Lido vs Newport City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Afan Lido vs Newport City?
Our predicted score is Afan Lido 1–2 Newport City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Afan Lido vs Newport City?
Afan Lido vs Newport City (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Princess Margaret Way.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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