Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Carmarthen Town vs Trefelin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Trefelin travel to face Carmarthen Town on Friday 13 February in the FAW Championship, with Richmond Park the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Carmarthen Town 1.2 xG, Trefelin 2.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Carmarthen Town 23%, draw 21%, Trefelin 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Trefelin to win (56%, odds 1.90 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carmarthen Town 1–2 Trefelin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Carmarthen Town23%fair 4.39 · @3.50
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.25
Trefelin56%fair 1.79 · @1.90
3.27Expected goals
1.20Carmarthen Town xG
2.07Trefelin xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Carmarthen Town 1.2 – 2.1 Trefelin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Carmarthen Town
Trefelin
Attack vs FAW Championship average
+2%
+28%
Goals conceded vs average
+35%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.57
2.90
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trefelin to win✓
56%
1.79
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Trefelin (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Carmarthen Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Trefelin to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Trefelin ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trefelin / FT Trefelin✗
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Carmarthen Town
No recent results on record.
Trefelin
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carmarthen Town and Trefelin.
What is the prediction for Carmarthen Town vs Trefelin?
Our pick is Trefelin to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Carmarthen Town vs Trefelin?
On our numbers Carmarthen Town have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Trefelin 56%.
How many goals will there be in Carmarthen Town vs Trefelin?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carmarthen Town vs Trefelin?
Our predicted score is Carmarthen Town 1–2 Trefelin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Carmarthen Town vs Trefelin?
Carmarthen Town vs Trefelin (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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