Flint Mountain 25%Draw 23%Newtown AFC 52%Expected goals 1.05 – 1.74
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultNewtown AFC to win ✓52% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Flint Mountain vs Newtown AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Friday 27 February: Flint Mountain v Newtown AFC in the FAW Championship, played at Essity Stadium.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Flint Mountain 1.0 xG, Newtown AFC 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Flint Mountain 25%, draw 23%, Newtown AFC 52%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flint Mountain 1–1 Newtown AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Flint Mountain25%fair 4.08 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.40
Newtown AFC52%fair 1.92 · @1.91
2.79Expected goals
1.05Flint Mountain xG
1.74Newtown AFC xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Flint Mountain 1.0 – 1.7 Newtown AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Flint Mountain
Newtown AFC
Attack vs FAW Championship average
-18%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
-44%
Our expected goals here
0.83
1.50
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newtown AFC to win✓
52%
1.92
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.44
Draw no bet
Newtown AFC (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Flint Mountain +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Newtown AFC to score first✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newtown AFC / FT Newtown AFC✓
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Flint Mountain – last 2
LL
24 Feb
vs Llandudno
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Gresford Athletic
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Newtown AFC – last 1
W
20 Feb
vs Guilsfield
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flint Mountain and Newtown AFC.
What is the prediction for Flint Mountain vs Newtown AFC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Flint Mountain vs Newtown AFC?
On our numbers Flint Mountain have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Newtown AFC 52%.
How many goals will there be in Flint Mountain vs Newtown AFC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flint Mountain vs Newtown AFC?
Our predicted score is Flint Mountain 1–1 Newtown AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Flint Mountain vs Newtown AFC?
Flint Mountain vs Newtown AFC (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Essity Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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